IT industry cautious on Humala's rise in polls

Monday, April 4, 2011

Peru's IT players are cautious about the rise of nationalist presidential candidate Ollanta Humala, but are still continuing with business as usual, the head analyst at local consultancy firm Dominio Consultores, Victor Velarde, told BNamericas.

According to a poll out Friday (Apr 1) from Lima's Universidad Católica, Humala had extended his lead to 24.3% of voters, followed by former president Alejandro Toledo with 18.9% and congress member Keiko Fujimori at 18.4%. Meanwhile, former prime minister Pedro Pablo Kuczynski was at 16.8%, and former Lima mayor Luis Castaneda at 12%.

An additional poll by local survey firm Datum also showed Humala - an ally of Venezuelan President Hugo Chávez and critic of capitalism - gaining over competitors.

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Still, politicians seem to be ringing more alarm bells than IT providers, according to Velarde.

"There is moderate concern," he said. "There are always people on alert when there are candidates that aren't in line with the model of open markets, but this isn't a critical situation."

On the buyers' side, significant deals are still being signed even as election day approaches.

"Everything is going well in the corporate sector. In the consumer segment, everything is generally moving at the same clip," the analyst said.

Velarde added that Humala's chances of becoming president will also be complicated by the need to build alliances if he makes it to the run-off.

The first round of presidential elections will take place April 10, and a run-off vote will occur June 5 if no candidate manages to capture 50% of the vote. Since there are five candidates, it is highly unlikely that an outright winner will emerge in April.