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Credit Suisse: Global steel industry has turned a corner

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Credit Suisse: Global steel industry has turned a corner

Credit Suisse analysts flagged supply discipline in an improving market and protectionism as two positives for the steel industry in addition to improving demand, and said the sector globally has turned a corner.

But analysts remain wary of the risks of excessive global exports, the side-effects of protectionism and a possible ramp-up of capacity, which they are watching closely, the bank said in a note to clients on Friday.

"Chinese exports remain stable in 2016, which is a positive. Inflationary pressures have increased in 2016 with first iron ore, then scrap and now metallurgical coal increasing (materially), but history shows that low inventory globally and cost inflation are typically prerequisites to kick-start a cycle," the note says. "2016 looks to be a much better earnings year than 2015, and 2017 could be better still."

Credit Suisse also affirmed Brazil's Gerdau as one of its top global picks, together with steel groups Angang, ArcelorMittal, Tata Steel, US Steel and MMK.

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