Bolsonaro's approval rating stuck in the doldrums
The approval rating of Brazil’s President Jair Bolsonaro (pictured) remains poor as the weak recovery of the labor market is impacting many low income families.
Bolsonaro, who began his four-year term in January, is finishing his first year in office with an approval rating below that of his most recent predecessors at the same stage, according to local pollster Datafolha.
The proportion of respondents saying the performance of the Bolsonaro administration is “good or excellent” edged up to 30% in December from 29% in August. The number replying “bad or terrible” dropped to 36% from 38%.
Fernando Henrique Cardoso, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Dilma Rousseff had approval ratings of 41%, 42% and 59%, respectively, at the end of their first year in office.
According to Datafolha, Bolsonaro's approval rating increased to 44% from 43% among families with an average income of between five and 10 minimum monthly salaries, while among families with income of up to two minimum salaries it declined to 22% from 26%.
The unemployment rate reached 11.6% in the three months ended October, according to statistics bureau IBGE, down from 11.7% in the year-ago period. Currently, around 12.4mn Brazilians are unemployed.
PROTEST RISK SEEN AS MINIMAL
Despite Bolsonaro's high disapproval rating, political observers consider the risk of mass protests as seen in other Latin American countries recently is minimal.
“Despite all the challenges ahead, there are signs that the economy is improving so the room for a large-scale protests is reduced at this moment,” Rafael Cortez, a political scientist at local consultancy firm Tendências Consultoria Integrada, told BNamericas.
However, Bolsonaro’s main political antagonist, Lula, has been attacking his liberal economic policies and blasted the government for the rise in inflation, especially the hike in meat prices that has affected low income families.
“It's not possible that in the country with the most cattle in the world, poor people have no money to buy meat,” Lula said in a video posted over the weekend via his leftist Workers Party.
“It makes no sense to talk about GDP growth if there's no income distribution,” he added.
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